Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Dollar

Thinking about going long the dollar in IRA.



Stop would be recent low, 24.8, target would be a breakout above past high, about 29. However since this is a more 'boring' trade and my IRA account is only 10k, I might just wait for something more exciting. Currently, half my IRA is long FAZ, now thats exciting!

Friday, March 20, 2009

More Indicators

Found a site that has more indicators than StockCharts. Here it is, I will add a few more to my left side.

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

SPY Resistance



Hitting the 50 DMA, a trendline and previous low.

Getting Overbought




I am not sure this is a shortable market yet. These indicators can probably stay overbought till % of stocks above 50 DMA gets overbought as well.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Ideas


Weaker of the ags, can break either way.


Play it for a reject at the trend line or a break out.


Breakout soon.


Strongest financial.


Another storng ag, over extended for now.


Strongest tech, along with NFLX.


This stock can always get going really good.

Gross

I have never seen a chart so gross as this.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Financials, keep on going

This post is just to vent. FAS is trading north of 5.7, I sold mine for 3.7ish, thats 2 points I missed, or more than 50%!! Tried calling the bottom, did a very good job (a little early), but then I did not have the balls to ride them up. Guess it is hard to have confidence in this bear market. I should work on that!

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Mixed Feelings

We aren't even close to being 'overbought' here due to the pain stocks have taken recently. It feels like everyone has turned bullish, I am not sure if this is a good or bad thing, but the market is moving up with force. I think a good medium term play (1-2 weeks) is to short DTO the ultra long oil fund. If oil moves up or even sideways then this thing will come back to earth. Its a shame I sold FAS so soon, but I did not think the bulls had it in them for all this action. Maybe XLF has really put in a bottom, close to my prediction.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Up Down Volume

Ratio was very high, however, I looked back at the 02 bottom and could not find values this high. Only in this market!



You can see another high ratio day. This was 9-18-07

Here is the ratio of up/down issues.

Out of FAS

Sold, all my FAS at 3.74. Probably should hold for a bit longer, but it feels nice to have big profits. My IRA needs them!